Overall Pac's Life sales *prediction*

[cookies]

these are my predictions and in no way do they reflect the outcome.

method 1.

using sales data from LTTG, i realized that it sold 4x the 1st weeks sales. and looking around i also noticed that give or take overall sales were 4x greater than 1st weeks sales.

e.g
1st week sales x 4 =overall sale
330,000 x 4 = 1,320,000 (1.32 million)

and from what i recall this is close to the actual outcome.

method 2.

using sales data from LTTG, i have figured out a rough 'ratio' of sales per week below 40,000. where basically following weeks sale is divided by the previous weeks sales. then for several of these an average is accumulated.

example
week sales ratio
5 40,096
6 36,098 0.90

week 6/week 5=ratio
40,096/36,098=0.90

and for following weeks the average was about 0.9.

so using the equation: a/ (1-r) we should be able to make an approximation.

r= ratio
a=is meant to be equal to first week sales BUT since we started at 40,096, this will be a

so for LTTG this would be
40,096/(1-0.9)
=40,096/(0.1)
=400,096

so now we add 400,096 to the weeks that we ignored (total from week 1-4) that is 731,759.

so 400,096 + 731,759 = 1,132,719 (1.12 mill)

Applying above methods to Pac’s Life
Method 1.
159,580 x 4 = 638,320
Method 2.
34,983 / (1-0.9) = 340,983

340,983 + 211,880(sum of first 2 weeks sale) = 552,863

so we have 638K and 553K.
taking average of these 2 gives us 596k

So according to my predictions we are looking at Pac’s Life selling approximately 600,000 units.

 

[faucet]

your agood example onn why not to do crack

 

[Cheesyphily16]

My question is why Amaru isn't putting out another single. WTF is up with their marketing team? I'm beginning to think that their marketing department consists of 4 year olds who sit around all day eating pizza and making finger paintings. Pac's Life was as weak as they come. There were 3-4 other tracks that were much better.

 

[mackaveliM]

a lot of thought u put into this, sounds like a pretty good educated guess, obviuosly this is an unscientifc study or w/e u wann a call it, b ut it makes pretty good sense, I could see these predictions coming true, but there are other variables and scenarios that could come up such as a second video or something else drastic, w/e happens, this is an embarrassingly weak output for a 'Pac album

 

[zloteklz]

My question is why Amaru isn't putting out another single. WTF is up with their marketing team? I'm beginning to think that their marketing department consists of 4 year olds who sit around all day eating pizza and making finger paintings. Pac's Life was as weak as they come. There were 3-4 other tracks that were much better.

wha? another single? Untouchable? Whatz Next? International? :woah:

 

[cookiesoda]

This has no merit or basis because..
a) your assuming the level of promotion will be the same
b) You don't know if Amaru plan to release anymore joints from the album
c) You don't know how any future singles will be received by the fans or how much airplay / videoplay they get

I've seen albums do major numbers because of a hot third or forth single whereas the previous joints have been largely ignored by the average joe bloggs consumer.

 

[Lost Soul]

your agood example onn why not to do crack

RLMFAO!:laugh:

The album will barely go gold, I guess.

 

[cookies]

This has no merit or basis because..
a) your assuming the level of promotion will be the same
b) You don't know if Amaru plan to release anymore joints from the album
c) You don't know how any future singles will be received by the fans or how much airplay / videoplay they get

I've seen albums do major numbers because of a hot third or forth single whereas the previous joints have been largely ignored by the average joe bloggs consumer.

thanks for stating the obvious.
a) correct
b) chances they do based on the past, 0.1%
c) no future singles, therefore no impact on sales

pac wont have a 'hot' 3rd or 4th single.

 

[babyface18]

I didnt get the album yet Maybe chrismas

 

[Rene]

your agood example onn why not to do crack

hahaha :laugh:

 

[cookies]

^^that post u referring to is urrm fuckin stupid. how does all the work iv done amount to me being on crack i would have presumed it would take someone to do that kinda calculation off crack:thumb:

BTW Pac's Life has now sold 345k

 

[Radafi]

your agood example onn why not to do crack

LOL :laugh:

 

[Giesinjo]

This has no merit or basis because..
a) your assuming the level of promotion will be the same
b) You don't know if Amaru plan to release anymore joints from the album
c) You don't know how any future singles will be received by the fans or how much airplay / videoplay they get

I've seen albums do major numbers because of a hot third or forth single whereas the previous joints have been largely ignored by the average joe bloggs consumer.

usual albums..not amaru albums they live in the same time as the taliban (now MINUS 300 years) :horny: